Catalysts & Headlines

Unemployment Claims rise above expectations signaling a tighter labor market.
Markets expect the data to prompt caution as a higher print suggests continued economic resilience despite softer headlines.
07:30
Import Prices m/m show cooling input costs for manufacturers.
Lower import prices could support margins for exporters and influence Fed trajectory expectations.
07:30
Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q revises lower, signaling slower efficiency gains.
Weaker productivity readings may weigh on growth sentiment and cap upside for risk assets.
07:30
Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q shows modest changes.
FLAT or softer wage growth data can ease inflation concerns and affect rate expectations.
07:30

Economic Calendar

📅
06:30Challenger Job Cuts y/yLow
07:30Unemployment ClaimsHigh
07:30Import Prices m/mLow
07:30Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/qLow
07:30Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/qLow
09:30Natural Gas StorageLow
12:00FOMC Member Bowman SpeaksLow
18:00FOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksLow

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R325340Resistance
R225260Resistance
R125140Resistance
POC25020POC
Pivot24940Pivot
S124860Support
S224740Support
S324660Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
24995.50
-132.75
ES Globex
6846.00
-30.00
VIX
22.08
0.93
10Y Yield
4.144
0.064
DXY
99.10
0.33
Crude
77.23
2.57

Market Context

📊
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX62
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call0.55
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure18
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX0.72
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth63

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry25100
Stop25060
TP125250
TP225400
Upside momentum on oversold near-term conditions with support at R1.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry24920
Stop24980
TP124800
TP224720
Break below Pivot with deteriorating internals and rising VIX.
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