Catalysts & Headlines
Unemployment Claims rise above expectations signaling a tighter labor market.
Markets expect the data to prompt caution as a higher print suggests continued economic resilience despite softer headlines.
07:30
Import Prices m/m show cooling input costs for manufacturers.
Lower import prices could support margins for exporters and influence Fed trajectory expectations.
07:30
Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q revises lower, signaling slower efficiency gains.
Weaker productivity readings may weigh on growth sentiment and cap upside for risk assets.
07:30
Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q shows modest changes.
FLAT or softer wage growth data can ease inflation concerns and affect rate expectations.
07:30
Economic Calendar
06:30Challenger Job Cuts y/yLow
07:30Unemployment ClaimsHigh
07:30Import Prices m/mLow
07:30Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/qLow
07:30Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/qLow
09:30Natural Gas StorageLow
12:00FOMC Member Bowman SpeaksLow
18:00FOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksLow
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25340 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25260 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25140 | Resistance |
| POC | 25020 | POC |
| Pivot | 24940 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24860 | Support |
| S2 | 24740 | Support |
| S3 | 24660 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
24995.50
-132.75
ES Globex
6846.00
-30.00
VIX
22.08
0.93
10Y Yield
4.144
0.064
DXY
99.10
0.33
Crude
77.23
2.57
Market Context
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX62
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call0.55
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure18
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX0.72
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth63
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 25100 |
| Stop | 25060 |
| TP1 | 25250 |
| TP2 | 25400 |
Upside momentum on oversold near-term conditions with support at R1.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24920 |
| Stop | 24980 |
| TP1 | 24800 |
| TP2 | 24720 |
Break below Pivot with deteriorating internals and rising VIX.
Tools We Trade WithUsed daily for this analysis
DayTraders→
Prop FirmGet funded to trade NQ/MNQ. Keep your profits.
Get Funded →
TradeSaber→
Predator SeriesPrecision NQ entries with momentum & structure confluence.
Get Predator →
BigBeluga→
Volume ToolsDelta volume, order flow, and market structure detection.
Explore BigBeluga →
ChartPrime→
Smart OverlaysSupply & demand zones and institutional order blocks.
Get ChartPrime →