Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Fed communication can shift rate-cut expectations and intraday volatility
Any perceived shift toward tighter or looser policy can quickly reprice yields and drive fast rotations in NQ.
06:30
Jobs and earnings data can reset the path for rates and risk appetite
A stronger print can pressure NQ via higher yields while a weaker print can spark relief bids but may raise recession fears.
07:30
Retail sales data can reprice growth expectations and consumer-driven earnings
Upside surprises can lift cyclicals and yields while downside surprises can weigh on growth stocks and increase defensive positioning.
07:30
Additional Fed commentary can amplify post-data trend continuation
Follow-through risk is elevated if remarks reinforce the market’s interpretation of the macro releases.
08:50

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
06:30FOMC Member Waller SpeaksMed
07:30Average Hourly Earnings m/mHigh
07:30Core Retail Sales m/mHigh
07:30Non-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
07:30Retail Sales m/mHigh
07:30Unemployment RateHigh
08:50FOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R325140Resistance
R225010Resistance
R124920Resistance
POC24860POC
Pivot24780Pivot
S124610Support
S224520Support
S324380Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
24784.25
-265.25
ES Globex
6751.50
-83.75
VIX
26.93
3.18
10Y Yield
4.117
-0.029
DXY
99.01
-0.31
Crude
91.60
10.59

Market Context

📊
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX38
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call69
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure33
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX44
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth28

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry24920-25010
Stop24840
TP125140
TP225260
Reclaiming R1/R2 suggests squeeze potential in high-VIX tape; targets prior supply near session highs with defined risk back below acceptance.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry24610-24580
Stop24720
TP124520
TP224380
Break and hold below S1 opens continuation as volatility remains elevated; downside targets next supports with stop above failed breakdown.
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