Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Small-business sentiment can shift early risk appetite
A downside surprise typically pressures cyclicals and growth while an upside beat can support a steady grind higher.
05:00
Private payrolls update can reprice rate expectations
A strong print can lift yields and cap NQ upside while a weak print tends to support duration-sensitive tech leadership.
07:15
Housing demand read-through can sway growth expectations
Softer sales usually reinforce disinflation and help NQ while strength can firm yields and trigger a rotation out of high duration.
09:00
Inventory headlines can spill into inflation and risk sentiment
Large crude builds often weigh energy and inflation expectations while draws can do the opposite, influencing index correlations intraday.
15:30
Economic Calendar (CT)
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25320 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25240 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25182 | Resistance |
| POC | 25060 | POC |
| Pivot | 25005 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24990 | Support |
| S2 | 24880 | Support |
| S3 | 24830 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
25167.00
176.00
ES Globex
6837.75
36.75
VIX
22.83
-2.67
10Y Yield
4.115
-0.021
DXY
98.57
-0.61
Crude
80.36
-14.41
Market Context
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX62
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call44
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX55
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth63
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 25190-25220 |
| Stop | 25120 |
| TP1 | 25240 |
| TP2 | 25320 |
Break and hold above prior high signals momentum continuation with VIX down; targets next resistance pocket into 25240-25320.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24980-24960 |
| Stop | 25060 |
| TP1 | 24880 |
| TP2 | 24830 |
Loss of pivot and prior close invites liquidation toward session low; targets 24880 then 24830 if sellers control.
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