Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

Small-business sentiment can shift early risk appetite
A downside surprise typically pressures cyclicals and growth while an upside beat can support a steady grind higher.
05:00
Private payrolls update can reprice rate expectations
A strong print can lift yields and cap NQ upside while a weak print tends to support duration-sensitive tech leadership.
07:15
Housing demand read-through can sway growth expectations
Softer sales usually reinforce disinflation and help NQ while strength can firm yields and trigger a rotation out of high duration.
09:00
Inventory headlines can spill into inflation and risk sentiment
Large crude builds often weigh energy and inflation expectations while draws can do the opposite, influencing index correlations intraday.
15:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

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Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R325320Resistance
R225240Resistance
R125182Resistance
POC25060POC
Pivot25005Pivot
S124990Support
S224880Support
S324830Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
25167.00
176.00
ES Globex
6837.75
36.75
VIX
22.83
-2.67
10Y Yield
4.115
-0.021
DXY
98.57
-0.61
Crude
80.36
-14.41

Market Context

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Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX62
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call44
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX55
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth63

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry25190-25220
Stop25120
TP125240
TP225320
Break and hold above prior high signals momentum continuation with VIX down; targets next resistance pocket into 25240-25320.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry24980-24960
Stop25060
TP124880
TP224830
Loss of pivot and prior close invites liquidation toward session low; targets 24880 then 24830 if sellers control.
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