Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Inflation print can reset rate expectations and reprice tech duration
A hotter read typically pressures NQ via higher yields and USD strength, while a cooler read can spark a fast risk-on squeeze.
07:30
Presidential comments can introduce headline-driven volatility
Unexpected policy or geopolitical remarks can widen ranges and trigger rapid de-risking in index futures.
15:25
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30Core CPI m/mHigh
07:30CPI m/mHigh
07:30CPI y/yHigh
09:30Crude Oil InventoriesMed
12:0110-y Bond AuctionMed
13:00Federal Budget BalanceMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25180 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25120 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25060 | Resistance |
| POC | 25010 | POC |
| Pivot | 25000 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24940 | Support |
| S2 | 24888 | Support |
| S3 | 24820 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
25007.75
25.25
ES Globex
6779.00
-8.25
VIX
24.80
-0.13
10Y Yield
4.210
0.074
DXY
99.21
0.38
Crude
86.85
3.40
Market Context
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX58
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call55
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure42
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX52
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth47
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 25061-25080 |
| Stop | 25020 |
| TP1 | 25120 |
| TP2 | 25180 |
Breakout above R1 signals buyers absorbing CPI volatility; targets are nearby resistance pockets while keeping risk tight back below the pivot/POC zone.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24879-24860 |
| Stop | 24940 |
| TP1 | 24820 |
| TP2 | 24740 |
Loss of the overnight low area risks liquidation with yields/USD bid; follow-through favors quick continuation into lower supports.
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