Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Jobless claims can swing rate-cut expectations and high-beta tech
A surprise in labor data can quickly reprice yields and volatility, amplifying directional moves in NQ.
07:30
Fed communication risk keeps rate sensitivity elevated
Any hawkish tilt can support yields and pressure duration-heavy growth stocks, while dovish tone can spark short-covering.
10:00
Long bond auction can move yields and equity risk premia
Weak demand can push yields higher and weigh on NQ, while strong demand can ease financial conditions and support a rebound.
12:01
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30Unemployment ClaimsHigh
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24980 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24860 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24780 | Resistance |
| POC | 24710 | POC |
| Pivot | 24695 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24610 | Support |
| S2 | 24560 | Support |
| S3 | 24420 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
24696.25
-287.25
ES Globex
6712.50
-67.00
VIX
26.01
1.78
10Y Yield
4.245
0.037
DXY
99.60
0.36
Crude
94.64
7.39
Market Context
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX34
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call68
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure29
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX41
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth24
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24785-24815 |
| Stop | 24695 |
| TP1 | 24860 |
| TP2 | 24980 |
Only take longs on reclaim of R1; signals failed breakdown and can trigger short-covering toward prior resistance clusters.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24555-24535 |
| Stop | 24655 |
| TP1 | 24420 |
| TP2 | 24280 |
Break and hold below S2 favors continuation with VIX/yields firm; targets next support pockets as dip-buyers step aside.
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