Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Flash PMI prints will steer growth expectations
Stronger readings would support cyclicals and pressure duration-sensitive tech.
08:45
Services momentum will test risk appetite
A firmer services pulse would keep yields elevated and cap index rebounds.
08:45
Regional factory survey offers a manufacturing check
A weak result would reinforce slowdown fears and keep buyers cautious.
09:00
Energy inventories may move inflation-sensitive assets
Another build or draw surprise could spill into rates and index sentiment.
15:30
Fed commentary can reset rate expectations
Any hawkish nuance would likely favor defensive positioning and limit upside.
17:30
Economic Calendar (CT)
08:45Flash Manufacturing PMIHigh
08:45Flash Services PMIHigh
09:00Richmond Manufacturing IndexMed
15:30API Weekly Statistical BulletinMed
17:30FOMC Member Barr SpeaksMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24507 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24408 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24334 | Resistance |
| POC | 24209 | POC |
| Pivot | 24271 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24134 | Support |
| S2 | 24050 | Support |
| S3 | 23910 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
24208.75
-199.50
ES Globex
6609.50
-25.25
VIX
26.36
0.21
10Y Yield
4.388
0.054
DXY
99.56
0.61
Crude
93.11
4.98
Market Context
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX62
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call71
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX46
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth39
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24340-24355 |
| Stop | 24195 |
| TP1 | 24408 |
| TP2 | 24507 |
Needs reclaim of pivot zone to confirm an intraday squeeze and fade the current selloff.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 24320-24345 |
| Stop | 24418 |
| TP1 | 24210 |
| TP2 | 24135 |
Sell failed rebounds while NQ stays below prior close and momentum remains weak.
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