Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Labor data left the market cautious on growth and rates
A softer labor read can support cuts but also reinforce slowdown concerns and keep intraday volatility elevated.
07:30
Energy prices are adding inflation pressure
A sharp crude move can weigh on rates-sensitive growth stocks and keep index bounces choppy.
09:30
Late-day policy and headline risk remains active
Multiple speakers and a high-profile appearance can amplify headline-driven swings into the close.
15:00
Additional Fed commentary can shift rate expectations
Any hawkish tilt would pressure mega-cap tech and extend the current risk-off tone.
17:30
More central bank remarks keep liquidity sensitive
Further commentary can reinforce the day’s direction or trigger a late-session reversal.
18:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsHigh
09:30USNatural Gas StorageMed
15:00USPresident Trump SpeaksMed
15:00USFOMC Member Cook SpeaksMed
17:30USFOMC Member Miran SpeaksMed
18:00USFOMC Member Jefferson SpeaksMed
18:10USFOMC Member Barr SpeaksMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R324421Resistance
R224200Resistance
R124080Resistance
POC23995POC
Pivot24108Pivot
S123970Support
S223890Support
S323740Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
23994.75
-373.00
ES Globex
6567.75
-73.00
VIX
27.22
1.89
10Y Yield
4.414
0.086
DXY
99.86
0.26
Crude
94.90
4.58

Market Context

📊
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX62
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call71
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX44
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth29

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry24110-24125
Stop23955
TP124200
TP224420
Needs reclaim of pivot and early RTH range to confirm responsive buyers.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry23960-23975
Stop24115
TP123890
TP223740
Failure below session low favors continuation while volatility stays elevated.
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