Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Jobs openings remain the key labor demand read
A softer labor signal would support rate-cut pricing and favor growth stocks.
09:00
Consumer confidence can confirm or fade the risk appetite bid
A weaker tone would reinforce the rotation toward duration-sensitive equities.
09:00
Fed speakers can reshape the afternoon rates narrative
Any hawkish pushback could slow the index advance and increase two-way volatility.
12:10
Late-day Fed commentary can affect positioning into the close
Traders may reduce risk if remarks sound less supportive of easing financial conditions.
14:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
08:00USHPI m/mMed
08:00USS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/yMed
08:45USChicago PMIMed
09:00USJOLTS Job OpeningsHigh
09:00USCB Consumer ConfidenceMed
11:00USFOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksMed
12:10USFOMC Member Schmid SpeaksMed
14:00USFOMC Member Barr SpeaksMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24050 | Resistance |
| R2 | 23940 | Resistance |
| R1 | 23860 | Resistance |
| POC | 23795 | POC |
| Pivot | 23695 | Pivot |
| S1 | 23620 | Support |
| S2 | 23510 | Support |
| S3 | 23390 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
23797.25
657.50
ES Globex
6537.75
149.50
VIX
26.30
-4.31
10Y Yield
4.305
-0.037
DXY
99.96
-0.55
Crude
101.29
-1.59
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call41
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX54
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth67
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 23695-23720 |
| Stop | 23595 |
| TP1 | 23860 |
| TP2 | 23940 |
Buy dips above pivot while momentum and volatility remain supportive.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 23615 |
| Stop | 23720 |
| TP1 | 23510 |
| TP2 | 23390 |
Fade only on a clean loss of pivot support after the delayed data print.
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