Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Labor data keeps rate-cut expectations in focus
A softer growth backdrop can support dips, but sticky wages keep Treasury yields and mega-cap valuation pressure intact.
07:30
Jobs market resilience tempers recession fears
A stable unemployment rate can limit panic selling, yet it also reduces urgency for easier policy and may cap upside.
07:30
Services activity signals modest expansion
A steady services read supports risk appetite only if price can hold above nearby support.
08:45
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USAverage Hourly Earnings m/mHigh
07:30USNon-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
07:30USUnemployment RateHigh
08:45USFinal Services PMIMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24305 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24255 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24175 | Resistance |
| POC | 24130 | POC |
| Pivot | 24106 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24075 | Support |
| S2 | 24020 | Support |
| S3 | 23950 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
24129.75
-65.00
ES Globex
6603.75
-14.00
VIX
23.87
0.00
10Y Yield
4.313
0.000
DXY
100.18
0.53
Crude
111.54
11.42
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call58
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure48
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX54
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth41
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24176-24188 |
| Stop | 24118 |
| TP1 | 24255 |
| TP2 | 24305 |
Reclaim of resistance suggests squeeze potential despite broader pressure.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24098-24088 |
| Stop | 24138 |
| TP1 | 24020 |
| TP2 | 23950 |
Loss of intraday pivot opens continuation toward lower support as buyers fade.
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