Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Producer inflation data keeps rate-cut hopes in focus
A softer-than-feared read would reinforce easing expectations and help high-multiple tech extend the move.
07:30
Fed commentary may reinforce a patient policy stance
Hawkish language can cap upside if traders fade the midday squeeze.
08:45
Additional Fed remarks could influence afternoon volatility
Markets may use policy nuance to decide whether to chase new highs or rotate into defense.
11:45
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USCore PPI m/mHigh
07:30USPPI m/mHigh
08:45USFOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksMed
09:15USFOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksMed
11:10USFOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksMed
11:45USFOMC Member Barr SpeaksMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 26020 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25985 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25955 | Resistance |
| POC | 25925 | POC |
| Pivot | 25755 | Pivot |
| S1 | 25720 | Support |
| S2 | 25640 | Support |
| S3 | 25580 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
25925.75
382.25
ES Globex
6994.50
71.75
VIX
18.40
-0.72
10Y Yield
4.272
-0.025
DXY
98.11
-0.26
Crude
92.49
-6.59
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call44
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX51
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth66
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 25900-25915 |
| Stop | 25835 |
| TP1 | 25985 |
| TP2 | 26020 |
Hold above pivot favors continuation; buy controlled pullbacks with room for delayed data reaction.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 25745-25755 |
| Stop | 25815 |
| TP1 | 25640 |
| TP2 | 25580 |
Loss of pivot opens room for profit-taking and a fast retrace toward prior support.
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