Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Retail demand will steer growth sentiment
A strong print would ease growth fears, while a miss can extend the Nasdaq’s defensive tone.
07:30
Fed testimony keeps rate-cut timing in focus
Any hawkish emphasis can lift yields and pressure duration-sensitive tech.
09:00
Policy headlines may amplify intraday volatility
Fresh rhetoric can quickly shift risk appetite and exaggerate index swings.
07:30
Central-bank commentary can reinforce higher-rate pricing
Even routine remarks can keep pressure on long-duration equities if yields stay firm.
13:30
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USCore Retail Sales m/mHigh
07:30USRetail Sales m/mHigh
07:30USPresident Trump SpeaksMed
09:00USFed Chairman-Designate Warsh TestifiesHigh
09:00USPending Home Sales m/mMed
09:00USBusiness Inventories m/mMed
13:30USFOMC Member Waller SpeaksMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 26902 | Resistance |
| R2 | 26810 | Resistance |
| R1 | 26740 | Resistance |
| POC | 26670 | POC |
| Pivot | 26680 | Pivot |
| S1 | 26646 | Support |
| S2 | 26580 | Support |
| S3 | 26490 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
26667.25
-81.50
ES Globex
7109.00
-39.00
VIX
20.07
1.20
10Y Yield
4.295
0.045
DXY
98.45
0.40
Crude
90.93
1.32
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call58
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure45
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX52
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth39
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 26745 |
| Stop | 26635 |
| TP1 | 26810 |
| TP2 | 26900 |
Reclaiming resistance with momentum can squeeze shorts into prior highs.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 26735 |
| Stop | 26815 |
| TP1 | 26610 |
| TP2 | 26520 |
Failed pushes under the prior close favor continuation toward nearby support.
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