Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Growth and inflation mix shapes Fed expectations
Hotter growth with sticky prices would likely pressure rate-sensitive tech, while softer inflation keeps dips better bid.
07:30
Labor-cost signals matter for policy repricing
Easier wage pressure would help equities extend, while firmness could cap Nasdaq multiples.
07:30
Volatility and dollar weakness support dip buyers
Lower volatility and a softer dollar reduce cross-asset stress, but failure near resistance can still invite profit-taking.
12:16
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USAdvance GDP q/qHigh
07:30USCore PCE Price Index m/mHigh
07:30USEmployment Cost Index q/qHigh
07:30USAdvance GDP Price Index q/qMed
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 28037 | Resistance |
| R2 | 27830 | Resistance |
| R1 | 27578 | Resistance |
| POC | 27408 | POC |
| Pivot | 27370 | Pivot |
| S1 | 27118 | Support |
| S2 | 26911 | Support |
| S3 | 26659 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
27407.50
82.25
ES Globex
7202.50
34.50
VIX
17.38
-1.43
10Y Yield
4.398
-0.020
DXY
98.16
-0.76
Crude
104.33
-2.55
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call56
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure64
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX54
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth58
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 27568-27586 |
| Stop | 27360 |
| TP1 | 27830 |
| TP2 | 28037 |
Breakout through R1 confirms buyers reclaiming control; stop sits beyond pivot support with targets at the next resistance bands.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 27362-27380 |
| Stop | 27590 |
| TP1 | 27118 |
| TP2 | 26911 |
Breakdown below pivot targets lower supports if buyers fail to defend value; delayed data requires buffer beyond the next resistance.
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