Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
NQ reacts to a busy core PCE and GDP data set with tight rangeholding
Markets evaluate a strong GDP backdrop against a cooling price backdrop, keeping risk in check as futures hover near multi-day highs.
12:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

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07:30USCore PCE Price Index m/mHigh
07:30USPrelim GDP q/qHigh
07:30USPrelim GDP Price Index q/qMed
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
07:30USCore Durable Goods Orders m/mHigh
07:30USDurable Goods Orders m/mMed
07:30USPersonal Income m/mMed
07:30USPersonal Spending m/mMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
Pivot30300Pivot
R130335Resistance
R230400Resistance
S130270Support
S230240Support
S330190Support
POC30320POC

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
30327.50
3393.50
ES Globex
7579.75
39.75
VIX
15.81
-0.48
10Y Yield
4.449
-0.032
DXY
98.98
-0.23
Crude
88.90
0.22

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN23.0
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.68
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure15.8
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum58
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth52

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry30310-30325
Stop30250
TP130360
TP230410
Range breakout near Pivot with buffer above S1 and targeting R1/R2.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry30360-30375
Stop30410
TP130320
TP230270
Fade rally into near R1 with downside legs toward S1/S2.
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