Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
NQ attempts to extend firmer bid after earlier dip; structure favors further upside within intraday range
Markets price in cooling macro backdrops with a measured tilt higher as breadth supports selective leadership and risk appetite.
12:30
US data docket contained; traders watching for subtle shifts in rate expectations
The mix of soft prints and resilient aspects may keep volatility elevated intra-session while limiting gains.
13:15
Economic Calendar (CT)
04:30USChallenger Job Cuts y/yHigh
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
07:30USFOMC Member Barkin SpeaksHigh
07:30USRevised Nonfarm Productivity q/qMed
07:30USRevised Unit Labor Costs q/qMed
09:00USTreasury Sec Bessent SpeaksMed
09:00USFOMC Member Bowman SpeaksMed
09:30USNatural Gas StorageMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot | 30450 | Pivot |
| R1 | 30550 | Resistance |
| R2 | 30675 | Resistance |
| S1 | 30370 | Support |
| S2 | 30240 | Support |
| S3 | 30120 | Support |
| POC | 30420 | POC |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
30467.50
2871.50
ES Globex
7594.50
22.75
VIX
15.44
-0.62
10Y Yield
4.469
-0.022
DXY
99.36
-0.17
Crude
92.41
-3.61
Market Context
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN23.37
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.86
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure15.4
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentumweak
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadthbroad advance
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 30360-30480 |
| Stop | 30260 |
| TP1 | 30550 |
| TP2 | 30675 |
Pivot near entry; target R1/R2 with adequate buffer and RR
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 30480-30600 |
| Stop | 30800 |
| TP1 | 30370 |
| TP2 | 30240 |
Fade rally from pivot with protective stops and dual targets
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