Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Inflation data can reset rate-cut expectations
A hotter print typically lifts yields and pressures NQ, while a cooler print can trigger a squeeze higher through overhead resistance.
07:30
Growth data can swing risk appetite and index leadership
A downside surprise can hit cyclicals and risk sentiment, while stronger growth can support bids if inflation does not re-accelerate.
07:30
Labor demand data can move yields and tech multiples
Stronger openings can keep policy restrictive and weigh on duration assets, while softer openings can ease financial conditions and support NQ.
09:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30Core PCE Price Index m/mHigh
07:30Prelim GDP q/qHigh
07:30Core Durable Goods Orders m/mMed
07:30Durable Goods Orders m/mMed
07:30Prelim GDP Price Index q/qMed
09:00JOLTS Job OpeningsHigh
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24805 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24650 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24500 | Resistance |
| POC | 24595 | POC |
| Pivot | 24415 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24382 | Support |
| S2 | 24250 | Support |
| S3 | 24100 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
24415.25
0.00
ES Globex
6650.25
0.00
VIX
27.33
0.00
10Y Yield
4.285
0.000
DXY
100.10
0.36
Crude
96.64
0.00
Market Context
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX42
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call63
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure34
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX48
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth39
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24651-24806 |
| Stop | 24549 |
| TP1 | 24950 |
| TP2 | 25125 |
Reclaiming 24650 and breaking the overnight high signals risk-on continuation; targets next liquidity pockets above prior range with tight risk below reclaimed resistance.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24381-24249 |
| Stop | 24476 |
| TP1 | 24100 |
| TP2 | 23950 |
Loss of 24382 opens momentum to the downside in a high-VIX tape; follow-through could accelerate toward lower supports as yields and USD stay firm.
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