Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Empire State survey can reset early growth expectations
A surprise print can quickly shift rate-sensitive tech bids and widen the opening range.
07:30
Factory utilization and output updates can move yields
Stronger production data tends to lift yields and pressure NQ duration exposure, while weaker data supports a grind higher.
08:15
Homebuilder sentiment offers a read on housing demand
A downside miss typically weighs cyclicals and can spill into index beta, while strength supports broader risk tone.
09:00
Presidential remarks may introduce headline-driven volatility
Policy or geopolitical commentary can trigger rapid repricing across rates, USD, and index futures risk premia.
10:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30Empire State Manufacturing IndexMed
08:15Capacity Utilization RateMed
08:15Industrial Production m/mMed
09:00NAHB Housing Market IndexMed
10:30President Trump SpeaksMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R325250Resistance
R225050Resistance
R124975Resistance
POC24750POC
Pivot24660Pivot
S124500Support
S224350Support
S324200Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
24912.00
306.25
ES Globex
6753.75
68.00
VIX
24.22
0.00
10Y Yield
4.237
0.000
DXY
99.83
-0.53
Crude
95.26
-3.45

Market Context

📊
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX62
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call58
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure44
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX53
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth60

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry24660-24750
Stop24500
TP124975
TP225050
Buy pullback into pivot/POC with trend support; target prior resistance bands while VIX is elevated.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry24490-24500
Stop24660
TP124350
TP224200
If support fails, expect liquidation toward prior lows; elevated volatility can accelerate downside through S2/S3.
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