Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Housing data can shift rate expectations and tech multiples
A downside surprise can pressure yields and support NQ, while a beat can lift yields and weigh on duration-heavy names.
09:00
Employment read-through can move risk appetite and front-end rates
A stronger labor print can firm yields and cap NQ upside, while softness can ease financial conditions and fuel a bounce.
07:15
Economic Calendar (CT)
09:00Pending Home Sales m/mMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25402 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25210 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25117 | Resistance |
| POC | 24990 | POC |
| Pivot | 24922 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24728 | Support |
| S2 | 24560 | Support |
| S3 | 24360 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
25028.50
0.00
ES Globex
6782.00
0.00
VIX
22.57
0.00
10Y Yield
4.193
0.000
DXY
99.62
0.00
Crude
94.96
0.00
Market Context
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX58
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call55
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure42
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX53
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth48
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 25118-25140 |
| Stop | 25060 |
| TP1 | 25210 |
| TP2 | 25402 |
Break and hold above overnight high favors momentum extension into upper resistance with volatility still elevated.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24727-24710 |
| Stop | 24810 |
| TP1 | 24560 |
| TP2 | 24360 |
Failure below overnight low signals liquidation risk; targets next support shelves as rates/vol remain a headwind.
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