Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Producer inflation data can reset rate-cut expectations
A hotter inflation read would pressure tech multiples and lift yields, while a softer print could support a relief bid.
07:30
Fed rate decision keeps policy path in focus
Any shift in the policy stance can drive sharp repricing across index futures, yields, and the dollar.
13:00
Updated Fed projections may move terminal-rate expectations
Changes in growth, inflation, and dot-plot assumptions can alter the market's view of forward policy.
13:00
Policy statement language may shift risk appetite
Tweaks in wording around inflation or labor conditions can quickly change expectations for the next few meetings.
13:00
Chair commentary could amplify post-decision volatility
Q and A headlines often trigger fast reversals as traders reassess the policy message in real time.
13:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30Core PPI m/mHigh
07:30PPI m/mHigh
13:00Federal Funds RateHigh
13:00FOMC Economic ProjectionsHigh
13:00FOMC StatementHigh
13:30FOMC Press ConferenceHigh

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R325210Resistance
R225080Resistance
R125020Resistance
POC24900POC
Pivot24925Pivot
S124840Support
S224760Support
S324640Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
24900.50
0.00
ES Globex
6736.50
0.00
VIX
23.08
0.00
10Y Yield
4.228
0.000
DXY
99.62
0.00
Crude
98.19
0.00

Market Context

📊
Gamma Exposure — positive GEX pins price; negative GEX amplifies moves.
GEX42
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = fear/hedging; below 0.7 = complacency/reversal risk.
Put-Call61
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = hedging demand.
VIX Term Structure38
Dark Pool Index — higher DIX (>45%) = institutional buying; lower = distribution.
DIX54
% of stocks above key MA. High = trend confirmed; divergence = rotation warning.
Breadth47

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry25020-25040
Stop24890
TP125080
TP225210
Momentum long only on acceptance above resistance with room toward the overnight high.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry24835-24815
Stop24935
TP124760
TP224640
Breakdown setup if support fails as higher volatility favors range extension lower.
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