Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Labor data points to a still-resilient economy
Stronger hiring keeps growth expectations firm and supports cyclical risk appetite.
07:15
Retail demand remains a key read on consumer strength
Healthy spending would reinforce earnings resilience and help high-beta equities extend gains.
07:30
Factory activity and price pressure steer rate expectations
A firmer manufacturing print can lift yields and challenge the duration-sensitive Nasdaq.
09:00
Fed commentary keeps policy expectations in focus
Any hawkish tone can cap upside momentum and increase intraday volatility.
08:05
Fed commentary can reinforce the rates backdrop
A cautious tone would support risk assets and preserve the current bid.
08:10
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:15USADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
07:30USCore Retail Sales m/mHigh
07:30USRetail Sales m/mHigh
08:05USFOMC Member Musalem SpeaksMed
08:10USFOMC Member Barr SpeaksMed
08:45USFinal Manufacturing PMIMed
09:00USISM Manufacturing PMIHigh
09:00USISM Manufacturing PricesMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24720 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24580 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24460 | Resistance |
| POC | 24340 | POC |
| Pivot | 24190 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24080 | Support |
| S2 | 23960 | Support |
| S3 | 23880 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
24346.00
431.00
ES Globex
6652.50
81.75
VIX
23.70
-1.55
10Y Yield
4.301
-0.010
DXY
99.30
-0.66
Crude
99.50
-1.88
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call44
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX53
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth68
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24360-24390 |
| Stop | 24270 |
| TP1 | 24580 |
| TP2 | 24720 |
Breakout above highs with supportive volatility and rates backdrop.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24260-24290 |
| Stop | 24370 |
| TP1 | 24120 |
| TP2 | 23960 |
Failure back below breakout area can trigger a quick mean reversion.
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