Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Services activity remains the key demand check
A softer print would support duration-sensitive tech and improve risk appetite, while a firm result keeps rates pressure on the index.
09:00
Policy remarks can reprice afternoon risk
Any hawkish tone would likely lift yields and pressure NQ leadership, while a calmer tone can stabilize the tape.
12:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
09:00USISM Services PMIHigh
12:00USPresident Trump SpeaksHigh
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24450 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24390 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24320 | Resistance |
| POC | 24270 | POC |
| Pivot | 24220 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24160 | Support |
| S2 | 24090 | Support |
| S3 | 23980 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
24273.25
55.25
ES Globex
6634.50
12.25
VIX
24.31
0.44
10Y Yield
4.333
0.020
DXY
100.03
-0.00
Crude
112.89
1.35
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call58
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure44
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX52
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth46
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24325-24345 |
| Stop | 24205 |
| TP1 | 24450 |
| TP2 | 24510 |
Reclaim above resistance if buyers absorb the current range and yields cool.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24155-24180 |
| Stop | 24285 |
| TP1 | 24090 |
| TP2 | 23980 |
Failure below pivot signals fading momentum as volatility and rates weigh on tech.
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