Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Inflation-sensitive data and Fed speakers keep rate sensitivity elevated
Rate expectations and policy commentary can quickly swing Nasdaq leadership and suppress dip buying.
07:30
Heavy VIX and firmer yields pressure growth multiples
Higher volatility and yields typically cap index extension and favor fade setups.
11:35
Consumer credit may influence late-session risk appetite
A stronger reading can support cyclicals while keeping pressure on high-multiple names.
14:00
Energy inventory release can ripple into broad market sentiment
A bigger-than-expected crude move can alter inflation concerns and index tone into the close.
15:30
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USCore Durable Goods Orders m/mMed
07:30USDurable Goods Orders m/mMed
09:01USRCM/TIPP Economic OptimismMed
11:35USFOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksMed
14:00USConsumer Credit m/mMed
15:30USAPI Weekly Statistical BulletinMed
16:50USFOMC Member Jefferson SpeaksMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24510 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24385 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24295 | Resistance |
| POC | 24210 | POC |
| Pivot | 24255 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24140 | Support |
| S2 | 24020 | Support |
| S3 | 23940 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
24213.75
-144.75
ES Globex
6628.75
-22.25
VIX
26.39
2.22
10Y Yield
4.362
0.027
DXY
99.86
-0.12
Crude
114.60
2.19
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call68
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX46
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth39
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24298-24312 |
| Stop | 24168 |
| TP1 | 24385 |
| TP2 | 24510 |
Needs a clean reclaim of resistance with enough buffer for delayed quotes.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 24278-24296 |
| Stop | 24324 |
| TP1 | 24140 |
| TP2 | 24020 |
Fade failed resistance while volatility and yields keep rallies fragile.
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