Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Fed minutes can reset rate-cut timing
Any hawkish surprise could spark profit-taking in high-beta growth and pressure the index extension.
13:00
Bond auction sets the tone for duration demand
A weak auction could lift yields and trim some of the session’s momentum.
12:01
Energy data may influence inflation-sensitive sectors
A larger crude build can weigh on energy and keep rate-sensitive buying constructive.
09:30
Fed commentary can reinforce or dilute the current rally
Fresh policy guidance may either validate the upside trend or trigger a brief reversal.
12:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
09:30USCrude Oil InventoriesMed
12:00USFOMC Member Daly SpeaksMed
12:01US10-y Bond AuctionMed
13:00USFOMC Meeting MinutesHigh
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25480 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25380 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25260 | Resistance |
| POC | 25140 | POC |
| Pivot | 25080 | Pivot |
| S1 | 25010 | Support |
| S2 | 24880 | Support |
| S3 | 24740 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
25133.50
762.50
ES Globex
6824.25
167.50
VIX
20.62
-5.16
10Y Yield
4.279
-0.064
DXY
98.91
-0.73
Crude
94.72
-18.23
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call41
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX54
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth71
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 25090-25110 |
| Stop | 24970 |
| TP1 | 25260 |
| TP2 | 25380 |
Buy dips while momentum holds above the breakout shelf.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 25000-24980 |
| Stop | 25130 |
| TP1 | 24880 |
| TP2 | 24740 |
Fade only if price loses the intraday pivot and momentum stalls.
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