Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Inflation and growth data confirmed a softer rate-sensitive backdrop
Stable core inflation and growth readings supported multiples while Treasury yields eased.
07:30
Claims data did not challenge the risk-on setup
Labor conditions stayed orderly, helping equities hold gains without triggering a defensive bid.
07:30
Wholesale and inventory data stayed contained
Muted inventory pressure kept the market focused on growth and rates rather than an overhang from goods demand.
09:00
Energy storage data remained a secondary driver
The report is unlikely to steer index direction unless it adds to broader commodity inflation concerns.
09:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USCore PCE Price Index m/mHigh
07:30USFinal GDP q/qHigh
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
07:30USPersonal Income m/mMed
07:30USPersonal Spending m/mMed
07:33USFinal GDP Price Index q/qMed
09:00USFinal Wholesale Inventories m/mMed
09:30USNatural Gas StorageMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R325360Resistance
R225290Resistance
R125260Resistance
POC25210POC
Pivot25155Pivot
S125120Support
S225040Support
S324950Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
25206.25
132.00
ES Globex
6865.75
42.00
VIX
19.89
-1.15
10Y Yield
4.269
-0.022
DXY
98.66
-0.37
Crude
96.93
2.52

Market Context

📊
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call44
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX54
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth66

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry25262-25278
Stop25198
TP125360
TP225420
Breakout continuation above session highs with volatility easing and yields drifting lower.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry25118-25105
Stop25182
TP125040
TP224958
Failure back below pivot could trigger a retrace toward support as intraday momentum cools.
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