Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Inflation data keeps rate sensitivity elevated
Sticky inflation pressure supports yields and can cap multiple expansion in mega-cap tech.
07:30
Consumer sentiment softens growth appetite
Weaker household confidence can temper risk-on follow-through and support defensive rotation.
09:00
Budget deficit data may influence Treasury tone
A larger financing need can keep long-end yields firm and pressure duration-heavy equities.
13:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USCore CPI m/mHigh
07:30USCPI m/mHigh
07:30USCPI y/yHigh
09:00USPrelim UoM Consumer SentimentMed
09:00USPrelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsMed
13:00USFederal Budget BalanceMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25450 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25395 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25305 | Resistance |
| POC | 25235 | POC |
| Pivot | 25215 | Pivot |
| S1 | 25190 | Support |
| S2 | 25135 | Support |
| S3 | 25070 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
25231.50
-20.00
ES Globex
6849.00
-14.25
VIX
19.99
0.50
10Y Yield
4.319
0.026
DXY
98.72
-0.10
Crude
98.44
0.57
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call48
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure41
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX53
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth46
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 25310-25320 |
| Stop | 25245 |
| TP1 | 25395 |
| TP2 | 25445 |
Reclaim above opening balance suggests buyers can extend toward the prior high.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 25185-25195 |
| Stop | 25255 |
| TP1 | 25135 |
| TP2 | 25070 |
Failure below support signals sellers defending the lower half of today’s range.
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