Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Fed commentary keeps rate expectations in focus
Any hawkish tone can pressure duration-sensitive tech and cap upside momentum.
12:45
Manufacturing data tests growth momentum
A stronger read would support cyclicals and risk appetite, while a miss could slow the advance.
07:30
Housing sentiment remains soft
Continued weakness would reinforce slower-growth concerns and limit broad market participation.
09:00
Energy inventory data may sway inflation expectations
A surprise draw or build can move crude and shift rate-sensitive positioning.
09:30
Economic Calendar (CT)
05:00USPresident Trump SpeaksMed
07:30USEmpire State Manufacturing IndexMed
09:00USNAHB Housing Market IndexMed
09:30USCrude Oil InventoriesMed
12:45USFOMC Member Bowman SpeaksMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 26425 | Resistance |
| R2 | 26350 | Resistance |
| R1 | 26250 | Resistance |
| POC | 26175 | POC |
| Pivot | 26055 | Pivot |
| S1 | 26000 | Support |
| S2 | 25935 | Support |
| S3 | 25820 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
26172.50
175.75
ES Globex
7034.75
30.00
VIX
18.22
-0.14
10Y Yield
4.283
0.027
DXY
98.05
-0.07
Crude
91.65
0.37
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call48
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure57
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX54
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth61
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 26105-26125 |
| Stop | 26010 |
| TP1 | 26250 |
| TP2 | 26350 |
Buy dips while price holds above pivot and VWAP into firm intraday trend.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 25995-26005 |
| Stop | 26095 |
| TP1 | 25935 |
| TP2 | 25820 |
Fade a clean loss of pivot support if sellers reclaim control.
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