Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Labor data supports a steady growth outlook
A firmer labor backdrop can keep rate-cut hopes contained and support megacap tech leadership.
07:30
Manufacturing data signals softer regional momentum
A weaker read can temper cyclicals and reinforce selective quality bids.
07:30
Fed speakers can sharpen rate expectations
Policy commentary may amplify intraday volatility in duration-sensitive growth names.
07:35
Presidential remarks may move risk sentiment
Headline risk can trigger abrupt index swings if rhetoric changes the market tone.
18:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USPhilly Fed Manufacturing IndexMed
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
07:35USFOMC Member Williams SpeaksMed
08:15USCapacity Utilization RateMed
08:15USIndustrial Production m/mMed
09:30USNatural Gas StorageMed
09:35USFOMC Member Miran SpeaksMed
18:00USPresident Trump SpeaksMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 26625 | Resistance |
| R2 | 26564 | Resistance |
| R1 | 26500 | Resistance |
| POC | 26445 | POC |
| Pivot | 26366 | Pivot |
| S1 | 26276 | Support |
| S2 | 26190 | Support |
| S3 | 26095 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
26449.25
83.75
ES Globex
7063.25
2.75
VIX
18.75
0.58
10Y Yield
4.305
0.023
DXY
98.25
0.19
Crude
91.29
0.00
Market Context
Gamma exposure estimate (0–100). Higher = more positive gamma, dealers hedge by selling highs/buying lows (price pinning). Lower = negative gamma, dealer hedging amplifies moves. Green = stabilizing. Red = volatile. Amber = neutral.
GEX62
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call48
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure43
Dark pool buying score (0–100). Higher = institutional accumulation (smart money buying). Lower = distribution (smart money selling). Green = accumulation. Red = distribution. Amber = mixed.
DIX55
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth58
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 26470-26495 |
| Stop | 26395 |
| TP1 | 26564 |
| TP2 | 26625 |
Momentum stays positive above the prior close and a breakout can squeeze toward session highs.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 26345-26360 |
| Stop | 26420 |
| TP1 | 26276 |
| TP2 | 26190 |
Failure back below the pivot would suggest a fade into support as rates and VIX firm.
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