Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Factory momentum frames the growth read
A stronger production signal can support cyclicals while keeping yields sensitive to upside surprises.
09:00
Input-cost pressure remains the inflation risk
Sticky prices would pressure duration-sensitive tech if traders reprice policy easing.
09:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
09:00USISM Manufacturing PMIMed
09:00USISM Manufacturing PricesMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 28140 | Resistance |
| R2 | 28060 | Resistance |
| R1 | 27920 | Resistance |
| POC | 27850 | POC |
| Pivot | 27820 | Pivot |
| S1 | 27680 | Support |
| S2 | 27540 | Support |
| S3 | 27380 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
27847.25
4518.75
ES Globex
7274.50
30.75
VIX
16.71
-0.18
10Y Yield
4.378
-0.012
DXY
98.09
0.01
Crude
101.56
-3.51
Market Context
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN58
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call52
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure63
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum74
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth61
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 27908-27932 |
| Stop | 27820 |
| TP1 | 28060 |
| TP2 | 28140 |
Only take strength through upper resistance; risk stays defined under pivot with first scale near R2.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 27908-27932 |
| Stop | 28060 |
| TP1 | 27680 |
| TP2 | 27540 |
Failure into R1 keeps topping risk in play; use R2 as invalidation and target liquidity back toward session supports.
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