Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Demand data can influence yield sensitivity
A firmer demand signal would keep rate pressure elevated and make high-duration tech less forgiving.
09:00
Fed commentary keeps policy risk active
A hawkish tone would likely support yields and limit Nasdaq 100 upside follow-through.
11:50
Credit conditions matter for risk appetite
Tighter lending standards would add growth-risk pressure and favor defensive positioning into the afternoon.
13:03

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
09:00USFactory Orders m/mMed
11:50USFOMC Member Williams SpeaksMed
13:03USLoan Officer SurveyMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R328075Resistance
R227966Resistance
R127860Resistance
POC27775POC
Pivot27720Pivot
S127613Support
S227500Support
S327385Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
27747.75
4608.00
ES Globex
7223.75
-34.25
VIX
18.81
1.82
10Y Yield
4.454
0.076
DXY
98.48
0.33
Crude
105.52
3.58

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN66
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call52
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum54
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth47

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry27708-27732
Stop27613
TP127860
TP227966
Dip-buy only if Pivot holds; target R1 first, with R2 requiring sustained Nasdaq 100 breadth and calmer volatility.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry27848-27872
Stop27966
TP127613
TP227500
Fade R1 while volatility and semis diverge; failure there keeps risk skewed toward S1 and S2.
TradingView
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