Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Services activity is the main macro volatility risk
A stronger print can lift yields and pressure long-duration tech, while softness would support a rates-relief bid.
09:00
Labor demand can reshape rate-cut pricing
A material upside surprise would challenge the easing narrative, while a miss may reinforce the bid in growth names.
09:00
Housing demand adds a secondary growth read
The number can nudge rates and cyclicals, but it should be secondary unless the surprise is large.
09:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
08:59USNew Home SalesMed
09:00USISM Services PMIHigh
09:00USJOLTS Job OpeningsHigh
09:00USNew Home SalesMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R328455Resistance
R228260Resistance
R128195Resistance
POC28130POC
Pivot28090Pivot
S128015Support
S227900Support
S327732Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
28129.50
4214.50
ES Globex
7284.50
54.25
VIX
17.40
-0.89
10Y Yield
4.414
-0.032
DXY
98.43
-0.04
Crude
102.15
-4.27

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN38
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call58
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure61
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum76
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth55

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry28078-28102
Stop28015
TP128195
TP228260
Buy a controlled Pivot retest while semis lead; risk stays defined below S1 with targets into nearby resistance.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry28183-28207
Stop28260
TP128015
TP227900
Fade R1 if buyers fail to hold acceptance above resistance; elevated VXN keeps reversal risk alive near session highs.
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