Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Labor demand stays in focus
A hotter payroll print can pressure growth stocks through higher yields, while a miss supports duration-sensitive tech.
07:15
Energy volatility remains a cross-asset watch
A sharp inventory-driven oil move can spill into inflation expectations and rate-sensitive equity multiples.
09:30
Fed tone can steer rate-sensitive tech
Hawkish language would challenge the midday bid, while a softer tone keeps dip buyers active.
12:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:15USADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R328910Resistance
R228760Resistance
R128640Resistance
POC28560POC
Pivot28505Pivot
S128380Support
S228220Support
S328020Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
28559.25
4364.50
ES Globex
7362.00
74.75
VIX
17.18
-0.20
10Y Yield
4.362
-0.054
DXY
98.01
-0.47
Crude
95.29
-6.98

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN58
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call52
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure63
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum78
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth61

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry28493-28517
Stop28380
TP128640
TP228760
Buying the Pivot keeps risk defined below S1 while targeting R1/R2 if midday momentum reclaims acceptance above POC.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry28628-28652
Stop28760
TP128380
TP228220
Fade into R1 while VXN stays elevated; failure there risks a rotation back through Pivot toward S1/S2.
TradingView
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