Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Labor softness would favor duration-sensitive growth
A cooler labor read can ease yield pressure and help Nasdaq 100 buyers defend pullbacks.
07:30
Fed commentary may shape the afternoon tape
Hawkish guidance can keep the 10Y firm and limit follow-through above resistance.
13:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29190 | Resistance |
| R2 | 29067 | Resistance |
| R1 | 28882 | Resistance |
| POC | 28735 | POC |
| Pivot | 28760 | Pivot |
| S1 | 28574 | Support |
| S2 | 28452 | Support |
| S3 | 28267 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
28696.75
4478.75
ES Globex
7369.75
-19.75
VIX
17.41
0.02
10Y Yield
4.378
0.022
DXY
97.99
-0.03
Crude
95.71
0.63
Market Context
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN38
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call54
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure55
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum72
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth48
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 28870-28894 |
| Stop | 28760 |
| TP1 | 29053 |
| TP2 | 29190 |
Continuation only above R1; semis support momentum, but elevated VXN argues for defined risk and quick first scale.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 28748-28772 |
| Stop | 28882 |
| TP1 | 28574 |
| TP2 | 28452 |
A failed push into Pivot keeps sellers in control; R1 is the invalidation line and downside opens toward S1/S2.
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