Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Labor figures shape rate-path pricing
A softer hiring or wage mix tends to support growth multiples, while hot wages can revive yield pressure.
07:30
Consumer sentiment tests risk appetite
Stronger confidence can reinforce risk appetite, while weakness may revive concerns around demand and earnings breadth.
09:00
Inflation expectations influence the duration trade
Higher expectations typically pressure long-duration tech, while easing expectations can extend multiple expansion.
09:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USAverage Hourly Earnings m/mHigh
07:30USNon-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
07:30USUnemployment RateHigh
09:00USPrelim UoM Consumer SentimentMed
09:00USPrelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R329680Resistance
R229520Resistance
R129360Resistance
POC29215POC
Pivot29240Pivot
S129120Support
S228960Support
S328760Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
29280.00
4921.50
ES Globex
7420.00
57.00
VIX
17.26
0.18
10Y Yield
4.366
-0.026
DXY
97.94
-0.31
Crude
95.95
1.14

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN42
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call54
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum78
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth62

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry29228-29252
Stop29120
TP129360
TP229520
Dip-buy against Pivot keeps risk defined while semis lead; reclaiming R1 opens continuation if volatility does not accelerate.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29348-29372
Stop29520
TP129120
TP228960
Fade into R1 if momentum stalls; elevated volatility and late-cycle proximity leave room for sharper intraday mean reversion.
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