Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Inflation expectations stay on the watchlist
Sticky expectations would keep rate-volatility risk elevated for long-duration growth trades.
08:45
Housing demand offers a light macro read
A firmer housing print would reinforce resilient-demand pricing and may keep yields firm.
09:00
Volatility remains a headwind for chase longs
Elevated Nasdaq volatility argues for buying pullbacks rather than pressing highs without acceptance.
12:16
Economic Calendar (CT)
08:45USCleveland Fed Inflation ExpectationsMed
09:00USExisting Home SalesMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29772 | Resistance |
| R2 | 29626 | Resistance |
| R1 | 29518 | Resistance |
| POC | 29412 | POC |
| Pivot | 29372 | Pivot |
| S1 | 29264 | Support |
| S2 | 29118 | Support |
| S3 | 28980 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
29409.75
5038.75
ES Globex
7440.00
21.00
VIX
18.10
0.91
10Y Yield
4.402
0.038
DXY
97.95
0.05
Crude
98.96
3.54
Market Context
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN32
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call52
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure44
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum68
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth55
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 29360-29384 |
| Stop | 29264 |
| TP1 | 29518 |
| TP2 | 29626 |
Pivot pullback keeps risk defined against S1; strength must reclaim R1 quickly, with R2 reserved for sustained tech leadership.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 29360-29384 |
| Stop | 29518 |
| TP1 | 29118 |
| TP2 | 28980 |
Loss of Pivot would turn the afternoon tape into a failed breakout; R1 caps risk while S2 and S3 restore downside symmetry.
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