Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Inflation repricing remains the main rates trigger
A hotter inflation mix can lift yields and compress growth multiples, while a softer reading would help stabilize dip demand.
07:30
Fed messaging can sharpen rate-driven swings
Policy-sensitive rates remain a key driver for Nasdaq duration risk and late-session positioning.
12:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USCore CPI m/mHigh
07:30USCPI m/mHigh
07:30USCPI y/yHigh
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29456 | Resistance |
| R2 | 29010 | Resistance |
| R1 | 28920 | Resistance |
| POC | 28870 | POC |
| Pivot | 28820 | Pivot |
| S1 | 28742 | Support |
| S2 | 28620 | Support |
| S3 | 28480 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
28815.50
3741.25
ES Globex
7376.25
-60.50
VIX
18.62
0.24
10Y Yield
4.457
0.047
DXY
98.37
0.43
Crude
101.43
3.36
Market Context
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN25
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call47
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure42
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum55
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth36
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 28730-28754 |
| Stop | 28620 |
| TP1 | 28920 |
| TP2 | 29010 |
Dip-buy only if 28742 holds; targets use nearby resistance while risk stays beneath the next support.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 28908-28932 |
| Stop | 29010 |
| TP1 | 28742 |
| TP2 | 28620 |
Fade a push into 28920 if semis keep lagging and volatility stays firm; risk is capped above the next resistance.
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