Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

Producer inflation keeps rate sensitivity elevated
A hotter inflation impulse can keep 10Y pressure firm and make high-beta tech more sensitive to failed breakouts.
07:30
Fed leadership headlines can shape late-session risk appetite
A clean outcome can steady rate-path expectations, while surprises may lift volatility into the afternoon.
13:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USCore PPI m/mHigh
07:30USPPI m/mHigh
13:30USFed Chair Nomination VoteHigh

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R329880Resistance
R229720Resistance
R129580Resistance
POC29490POC
Pivot29450Pivot
S129330Support
S229180Support
S329056Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
29489.00
4237.50
ES Globex
7472.25
45.75
VIX
17.97
-0.02
10Y Yield
4.481
0.018
DXY
98.50
0.21
Crude
101.83
-0.35

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN38
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call52
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum61
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth44

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29568-29592
Stop29450
TP129720
TP229880
A clean R1 reclaim keeps momentum intact; target continuation into upper resistance while risk stays defined below the pivot shelf.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29568-29592
Stop29720
TP129330
TP229180
Fade R1 only if buyers stall there; weak semiconductor confirmation makes a rejection toward lower support a clean tactical short.
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