Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Retail sales reset growth-rate expectations
A firm consumer print can keep yields and cyclicals in focus, while a miss would favor duration-sensitive tech.
07:30
Jobless claims shape soft-landing risk
Claims near forecast would support risk appetite, while a downside labor surprise could pressure high-beta tech.
07:30
NQ holds near session highs
Sustained trade above the pivot keeps breakout pressure alive, but proximity to the high raises reversal risk.
12:16
Nasdaq volatility remains elevated
Higher Nasdaq volatility argues for wider stops and smaller size despite broad-market calm.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USCore Retail Sales m/mHigh
07:30USRetail Sales m/mHigh
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R330090Resistance
R229950Resistance
R129782Resistance
POC29690POC
Pivot29640Pivot
S129550Support
S229448Support
S329310Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
29715.25
4434.00
ES Globex
7520.50
51.00
VIX
17.57
-0.30
10Y Yield
4.449
-0.032
DXY
98.77
0.29
Crude
101.12
0.10

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN44%
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call53%
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure57%
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum76%
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth62%

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29770-29794
Stop29630
TP129950
TP230090
Buy strength only if R1 converts to support; stop sits beyond pivot structure, with targets staged into the next resistance bands.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29770-29794
Stop29960
TP129550
TP229310
Fade a failed push into R1; stop clears R2 structure, while targets lean on S1 then S3 if sellers accelerate.
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