Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Volatility remains elevated against index strength
Higher implied volatility keeps rallies vulnerable to fast two-way rotations despite NQ holding above the pivot.
12:16
Semiconductor leadership is not confirming the rally
Semiconductor weakness reduces confidence in upside continuation and raises the risk of failed breakouts near resistance.
12:16
Rates and dollar strength remain a headwind
A firmer 10Y and stronger dollar can pressure long-duration growth shares and cap momentum into resistance.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

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Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R329734Resistance
R229600Resistance
R129470Resistance
POC29346POC
Pivot29340Pivot
S129230Support
S229090Support
S328960Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29346.00
3802.50
ES Globex
7455.75
-69.75
VIX
18.16
0.90
10Y Yield
4.591
0.130
DXY
99.21
0.33
Crude
100.45
-0.72

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN68
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call55
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure57
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum51
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth42

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29458-29482
Stop29340
TP129600
TP229734
Buy only on acceptance through R1; upside needs momentum confirmation to overcome volatility and reach higher resistance.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29458-29482
Stop29600
TP129230
TP229090
Fade R1 only on rejection; weak semis and higher volatility favor selling failed strength while price remains below R2.
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