Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

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Housing sentiment sets the early macro tone
A soft reading reinforces growth concerns, while an upside surprise can pressure rate-sensitive tech through yields.
09:00
Fed commentary can reset rate expectations
Policy tone matters because elevated volatility leaves Nasdaq 100 duration exposure sensitive to yield swings.
14:35
Foreign capital flows shape dollar and yield tone
Stronger inflows can steady the dollar and rates, while weakness may add cross-asset volatility.
15:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

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Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R329420Resistance
R229258Resistance
R129150Resistance
POC29072POC
Pivot29030Pivot
S128930Support
S228800Support
S328702Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29027.00
3030.25
ES Globex
7412.75
-19.50
VIX
18.48
0.05
10Y Yield
4.603
0.008
DXY
99.01
-0.27
Crude
102.46
1.44

Market Context

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NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN28
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call45
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure40
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum46
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth38

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry29016-29044
Stop28916
TP129150
TP229258
Pivot defense keeps dip buyers in control; risk is defined below S1 while first target is capped at nearby R1.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry28916-28944
Stop29044
TP128800
TP228702
Failure at S1 opens room into lower supports; stop sits back above the broken pivot to avoid noise.
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