Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Housing data keeps rate sensitivity in focus
A softer demand signal tends to support duration-sensitive growth, while a firmer reading can lift yields and pressure high-multiple tech.
09:00
Fed commentary can reset rate-cut expectations
Hawkish language would likely lift yields and cap Nasdaq 100 rallies, while a dovish tone helps buyers defend support.
18:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
09:00USPending Home Sales m/mMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R329420Resistance
R229280Resistance
R129150Resistance
POC29075POC
Pivot29040Pivot
S128900Support
S228790Support
S328663Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
29060.75
2695.25
ES Globex
7405.25
-20.50
VIX
17.79
-0.03
10Y Yield
4.661
0.038
DXY
99.27
0.30
Crude
103.93
-4.73

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN42
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call53
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum55
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth46

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29138-29162
Stop29054
TP129280
TP229420
R1 reclaim keeps upside momentum intact; use POC as failure line and take partials into the next resistance shelf.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29028-29052
Stop29162
TP128900
TP228790
Failure through pivot would confirm sellers defending value; targets step into S1 then S2 if momentum expands.
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