Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Fed minutes can reset rate-cut pricing
Tech duration risk is the main transmission channel if the tone pushes yields away from the session lows.
13:00
Yields and dollar soften into the afternoon
Lower discount-rate pressure supports high-duration technology shares unless Fed language reverses the move.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
13:00USFOMC Meeting MinutesHigh

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R329744Resistance
R229495Resistance
R129396Resistance
Pivot29280Pivot
POC29246POC
S129167Support
S229026Support
S328797Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
29245.50
2758.25
ES Globex
7428.25
50.25
VIX
17.67
-0.39
10Y Yield
4.582
-0.085
DXY
99.14
-0.16
Crude
97.83
-9.94

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN42
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call56
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure63
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum84
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth65

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29268-29292
Stop29167
TP129396
TP229744
Reclaiming the pivot keeps buyers in control; VIX is easing and semiconductor leadership supports a push back through the high.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29384-29408
Stop29495
TP129167
TP229026
Fade the high if buyers stall; failure below resistance leaves room for a VWAP-style flush toward lower intraday support.
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