Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Factory and labor data frame the growth tone
A firmer mix supports growth and yields, while softness would favor defensive rotation and pressure high-beta technology names.
07:30
Business surveys test the soft-landing narrative
Stronger activity readings can extend risk appetite, but hotter price components may keep rate-sensitive growth under pressure.
08:45
Semiconductor leadership drives Nasdaq outperformance
Sustained chip strength supports dip buying, while a leadership fade would weaken the long setup.
12:16
Volatility compression supports risk appetite
Lower broad-market fear supports risk appetite, but elevated Nasdaq volatility still argues for wider stops and cleaner entries.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USPhilly Fed Manufacturing IndexMed
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
08:45USFlash Manufacturing PMIMed
08:45USFlash Services PMIMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R329800Resistance
R229630Resistance
R129465Resistance
POC29320POC
Pivot29280Pivot
S129113Support
S228940Support
S328770Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29282.25
2456.75
ES Globex
7428.25
-23.50
VIX
17.09
-0.35
10Y Yield
4.599
0.027
DXY
99.38
0.27
Crude
100.37
2.11

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN54
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call57
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure62
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum82
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth48

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry29268-29292
Stop29113
TP129465
TP229630
Holding the midday pivot keeps buyers in control; semiconductor strength and easing volatility support a push back toward session highs.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29101-29125
Stop29280
TP128940
TP228770
Breakdown through session support would signal momentum exhaustion; losing S1 opens a cleaner path toward lower support.
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