Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Consumer sentiment revision keeps growth sensitivity in focus
A weaker confidence backdrop can cool yields but may cap risk appetite if growth concerns deepen.
09:00
Nasdaq 100 holds a firm intraday structure
Buyers remain in control above the pivot, but extension near first resistance raises pullback risk.
12:16
Volatility easing supports risk appetite
Lower broad-market volatility supports dip demand, while elevated Nasdaq volatility argues for disciplined entries.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
09:00USRevised UoM Consumer SentimentMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R330074Resistance
R229895Resistance
R129795Resistance
POC29695POC
Pivot29616Pivot
S129516Support
S229336Support
S329157Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
29695.00
2946.25
ES Globex
7512.25
46.25
VIX
16.49
-0.27
10Y Yield
4.568
-0.018
DXY
99.22
0.03
Crude
96.34
-0.01

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN52
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call55
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure64
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum82
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth61

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry29614-29630
Stop29502
TP129795
TP229895
Controlled dip-buy at the pivot, with semis leading and volatility easing; stop sits beyond first support to avoid routine noise.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29781-29809
Stop29909
TP129516
TP229336
Fade a stretched push into first resistance while price sits near the 20-day high zone; invalidation belongs above the next resistance.
TradingView
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