Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
NQ faces potential test of R1 as momentum slows after a run higher
Upside momentum stalls near major resistance, implying limited upside into the next leg unless buyers re-appear with breadth improving.
14:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
01:00USFOMC Member Kashkari SpeaksHigh
05:50USFOMC Member Schmid SpeaksHigh
07:30USGoods Trade BalanceMed
07:30USPrelim Wholesale Inventories m/mMed
08:10USFOMC Member Bowman SpeaksHigh
08:15USFOMC Member Paulson SpeaksHigh
08:45USChicago PMIHigh
11:40USFOMC Member Daly SpeaksHigh
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot | 30360 | Pivot |
| R1 | 30440 | Resistance |
| R2 | 30560 | Resistance |
| S1 | 30240 | Support |
| S2 | 30120 | Support |
| S3 | 30000 | Support |
| POC | 30320 | POC |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
30392.75
2957.75
ES Globex
7598.00
16.25
VIX
15.28
-0.46
10Y Yield
4.436
-0.019
DXY
98.85
-0.17
Crude
86.86
-2.04
Market Context
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN22.56
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.68
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure15.28/15.74
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentumup
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadthn/a
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 30360-30375 |
| Stop | 30260 |
| TP1 | 30440 |
| TP2 | 30560 |
Pivot proximity supports breakout with adequate buffer.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 30460-30475 |
| Stop | 30580 |
| TP1 | 30360 |
| TP2 | 30240 |
Fade rally near R1 with defined downside targets.
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