Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

ISM Manufacturing PMI beats expectations, reinforcing risk appetite.
The surprise strength in the ISM PMI underscores ongoing momentum in the manufacturing sector and may sustain a bid into near-term sessions.
14:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

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08:45USFinal Manufacturing PMIMed
09:00USISM Manufacturing PMIHigh
09:00USISM Manufacturing PricesMed
09:00USConstruction Spending m/mMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
Pivot30550Pivot
R130600Resistance
R230650Resistance
S130500Support
S230450Support
S330400Support
POC30525POC

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
30557.50
3117.00
ES Globex
7604.00
8.25
VIX
15.94
0.62
10Y Yield
4.483
0.030
DXY
99.20
0.29
Crude
93.02
5.66

Market Context

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NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN23.65
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call1.12
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure8.2
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentumnegative
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadthmixed

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry30550-30565
Stop30500
TP130625
TP230675
Pivot vicinity offers light risk with room for TP2 if momentum persists.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry30525-30540
Stop30575
TP130490
TP230440
S1 vicinity for fade of intraday rally; structure supports downside targets.
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