Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
NQ eyes near-term limit as regime sits in topping configuration
Price action remains capped near the upper structural wall with breadth still supportive for a pullback, keeping intraday risk skewed to a potential reversal
12:45
Fed-speak calendar adds potential volatility as issues surface
Speaker events may spark short-term volatility while broader trend remains constrained by regime dynamics
15:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
09:00USJOLTS Job OpeningsMed
09:02USRCM/TIPP Economic OptimismMed
09:15USOmdia Total Vehicle SalesMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
Pivot30650Pivot
R130680Resistance
R230720Resistance
S130620Support
S230580Support
S330550Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
30696.25
3527.50
ES Globex
7626.25
13.00
VIX
15.92
-0.13
10Y Yield
4.453
-0.022
DXY
99.24
0.04
Crude
93.02
0.86

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN23.54
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.65
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure15.92
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentumpositive
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadthmixed

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry30650-30660
Stop30620
TP130680
TP230720
Entry around Pivot/R1 with space to TP targets while stopping below S1
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry30670-30680
Stop30720
TP130620
TP230580
Fade rally near R1 with stop above R2 and targets at S1/S2
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